GOVERNMENT’S NEWEST INCOMPLETE FORECASTS SHOW GUN REGISTRY WILL COST MORE THAN $1.4 BILLION BEFORE IT IS
FULLY
IMPLEMENTED (I.E. REACHES“STEADY STATE” IN 2008/09)
By Garry Breitkreuz, MP – Updated: November 24, 2004
A.
TOTAL
SPENT AS OF MARCH 31, 2004
= $ 935,700,000 [Mar
31/04]
Total
spent 1995/96 to March 31, 2003
= $813,800,000 (p. 61)
Total spent for fiscal year 2003-2004
= $121,900,000 (p. 61)
- Includes previously unreported “indirect costs” from some other
departments
Canada
Firearms Centre Estimates 2004-2005, Part III - Report on Plans and Priorities
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/publications/CFCPlansandPrioritiesReport2004-05-2004-10-08.pdf
Tabled
in Parliament on October 8, 2004
Note
#1: “INDIRECT COSTS” STILL
NOT INCLUDED FOR SOME
OTHER DEPARTMENTS
Note
#2: “MAJOR ADDITIONAL COSTS” STILL UNREPORTED!
“The
costs incurred by the provincial and territorial
agencies
in enforcing the legislation were not reported.
In
addition, costs that were incurred by firearms owners,
firearms
clubs, manufacturers, sellers, and importers and
exporters
of firearms, in their efforts to comply with the
legislation
were not reported. Auditor
General’s Report
December
2002 – Chap. 10, Page 6, Paragraph 20.29
Note
#3: COMPLIANCE COSTS & ENFORCEMENT COSTS!
The
Library of Parliament released three studies in 2003
that
show that complying with this useless gun law has already
cost
gun owners between $367
and $764 million
and that
enforcement
costs will cost at least another billion.
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/publications/Article195.htm
Note
#4: ECONOMIC COSTS STILL A “CABINET SECRET”!
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/breitkreuzgpress/Guncontrol41.htm
B.
ESTIMATED EXPENDITURES FOR 2004-05
=
$ 119,700,000
[Oct
8, 04]
Includes
Indirect Costs = $19.4 million
Canada
Firearms Centre Estimates – Part III - Report on Plans and Priorities
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/publications/CFCPlansandPrioritiesReport2004-05-2004-10-08.pdf
Tabled
in Parliament on October 8, 2004
-
Justice Dept. estimate = $
94,900,000 [Mar
27/03]
-
Dept. of Justice estimate = $ 80,000,000 [Apr
24/02]
-
Hession/HLB Estimate = $ 103,400,000
[Feb
03/03]
(Running
Total = $1,055,400,000) (See
Notes in A. above)
C.
ESTIMATED EXPENDITURES FOR 2005-06
=
$ 85,0000,000
[Nov
24/05]
- Not reported in CFC Plans & Priorities Report for 2004-2005
Plus Indirect Costs @ 15% = $12,750,000
-
CFC Commissioner testimony = $85,000,000 [Nov
24/04]
= $97,750,000
-
Justice Dept. estimate = $
75,700,000 [Mar
27/03]
-
Hession/HLB Estimate = $ 77,800,000 [Feb
03/03]
(Running
Total = $1,153,150,000)
(See Notes in A. above
D.
ESTIMATED EXPENDITURES FOR 2006-07
=
$ 79,000,000
[Feb
03/03]
-
Hession/HLB Estimate = $ 79,000,000 [Feb
03/03]
Plus Indirect Costs @ 15% = $11,850,000
(Running
Total = $1,244,000,000)
(See Notes in A. above) = $
90,850,000
E.
ESTIMATED EXPENDITURES FOR 2007-08
=
$ 75,300,000
[Feb
03/03]
-
Hession/HLB Estimate = $ 75,300,000 [Feb
03/03]
Plus Indirect Costs @ 15% = $11,295,000
(Running
Total = $1,330,595,000)
(See Notes in A. above) = $
86,595,000
F.
ESTIMATED EXPENDITURES FOR 2008-09
=
$ 72,300,000
[Feb
03/03]
-
Hession/HLB Estimate = $ 72,300,000 [Feb
03/03]
Plus
Indirect Costs @ 15% = $10,845,000
(Running
Total = $1,413,740,000)
(See Notes in A. above) = $
83,145,000
“Steady
State”
reached?
G.
ESTIMATED EXPENDITURES FOR 2009-10
=
$ 72,300,000
[Feb
03/03]
-
Hession/HLB Estimate = $ 72,300,000 [Feb
03/03]
Plus Indirect Costs @ 15% = $10,845,000
(Running
Total = $1,496,885,000)(See
Notes in A. above) =
$ 83,145,000
_____________________
GRAND TOTAL
= $ 1,496,885,000
NOTE:
THIS IS NOT THE ACTUAL TOTAL COST! THIS
IS ESTIMATE IS BASED ONLY
ON
ESTIMATES THE GOVERNMENT HAS RELEASED SO FAR!
-
Please
see Auditor General’s quotes in Item A. above.
Does not include “major additional costs” of enforcement,
compliance, economic costs, nor all the indirect costs from all departments.
SUPPORTING DOCUMENTATION
1.
FORECASTS FROM THE HESSION/HLB REPORT
= $541,400,000
- 2002/2003 to 2007/2008 [Tabled in Parliament February 3, 2003]
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/publications/firearmscostprojections-2003-02-031.pdf
2.
CANADIAN FIREARMS CENTRE – EXPENDITURES BY FISCAL YEAR 1995-96 to
2002-03
- Obtained by Access to Information Act request – Justice File:
A-2003-0106
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/publications/CFCExpenditures-1995Mar312003.pdf
3.
JUSTICE
MINISTER'S PROJECTIONS OF CURRENT AND FUTURE COSTS OF THE GUN REGISTRY
[Tabled
in Parliament April 24, 2002]
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/Private%20Members%20Motions/apr-24-2002.htm
4.
OFFICE OF THE AUDITOR GENERAL – DECEMBER 2002
REPORT
Chapter 10 - Department of Justice [Tabled in Parliament December 3, 2002]
Costs of Implementing the Canadian Firearms Program
http://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/domino/reports.nsf/html/20021210ce.html
BEWARE
OF DEPT. OF JUSTICE REVENUE FORECASTS
(A)
On April 24, 1995, Justice Minister Allan Rock promised Parliament that the
system would function at “almost break-even.” In a letter to the Toronto Star on July 19, 1999, Justice
Minister Anne McLellan promised “user fees would cover the entire cost of the
program.”
(B) “REVENUE” is simply a tax levied against law-abiding responsible gun owners. These “user fees” don’t reduce the cost of the gun registry, they just drive more and more people away from legitimate hunting and shooting sports and drive more and more licenced firearms dealers and outfitters out of business. Only in the warped mind of a Liberal could anyone consider killing tourism, businesses and employment as a net benefit.
LIBRARY
OF PARLIAMENT REPORT: “THE BENEFITS OF FIREARMS OWNERSHIP”
“Liberals
ignore the benefits of gun ownership in their cost-benefit analysis of gun
registry.”
http://www.cssa-cila.org/garryb/breitkreuzgpress/guns121.htm