KEY RISKS IDENTIFIED IN FEBRUARY 1996 REPORT 

The “Overview of Risk Assessment  report listed the following risks:

• The probability of overall project costs exceeding the original Cabinet approved estimates – Probability of Occurrence: HIGH
• Current time identified for key milestones and the (in)ability to meet project objectives (e.g. communication before certain releases)  – Probability of Occurrence: HIGH
• Probability and impact on cost of potential Release date alterations stemming from political arena – Probability of Occurrence: MEDIUM
• Probability and impact inflationary pressures impacting project expenditures during project implementation life-cycle  – Probability of Occurrence: HIGH
• Probability and impact of incorrect fee setting and assumptions behind project revenues – Probability of Occurrence: HIGH
• Federal-Provincial disagreements, prospect/impact of provincial dissent – Probability of Occurrence: MEDIUM
• Ability to manage overall project implementation and coordination with federal partners, and federal provincial negotiation – Probability of Occurrence: HIGH
• Impact of developing the standards, OICs, amnesties on current direction of the CFRS – Probability of Occurrence: HIGH
• The (in)ability of the private sector in delivering the key project outputs and its technological capability (based on level of technological requirements of the project) – Probability of Occurrence: MEDIUM
• The probability and impact of negative reaction from project clientele and the general public -Probability of Occurrence: MEDIUM
•  Ability to manage overall project implementation and coordination with federal partners, and federal provincial negotiation – Probability of Occurrence: MEDIUM
• The potential for, and impact of the delays in key deliverables and phases (i.e. the interdependence of Releases);Acknowledging the project scope, number of players, dollar size, sponsoring departments’ experience in managing large-scale projects and the potential for delays, problems and compensatory funding – Probability of Occurrence: HIGH

WARNINGS FROM MARCH 1994 “ADVICE TO THE MINISTER”

• "Costs to the federal and provincial governments would be substantial. Specific costs cannot be calculated.”
• "While some costs could be recovered from firearm owners in the form of licencing fees, recovery of indirect costs, such as the time of police officers and support staff, telecommunications and data processing resources and similar expenses would be more problematic.” 
• "There will be strong opposition from firearm owners and interest groups, who fear universal registration is the first step towards confiscation or prohibition.”
• "Further changes may overwhelm police training and communications resources and provoke opposition among the rank-and-file.”
• "Changes of this nature involve major program and resource concerns for the RCMP and provincial agencies.”
• "There are real questions about the extent to which these proposals would improve public safety and whether the high costs could be justified.”