PUBLICATION:  The Calgary Sun 

DATE:  2002.12.14

EDITION:  Final 

SECTION:  Editorial/Opinion 

PAGE:  15 

ILLUSTRATION: drawing 

SOURCE:  BY LEE MORRISON 

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VOICE IN THE WILDERNESS MP'S DIRE WARNINGS WERE GREETED WITH SNEERING DISDAIN

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Allan Rock's voice came oozing out of my car radio. The auditor general has just delivered her damned report on the gun registry he had conceived when he was minister of justice.

His attempt to rationalize the financial mess in his misbegotten gun control program almost made me physically ill -- and I haven't thrown up in a car since I was four years old.

Everyone was to blame, it seems, except poor aggrieved Allan. It was the fault of the nasty provinces for not throwing their support behind him. It was the fault of recalcitrant farmers and hunters who didn't leap to conform and had to be cajoled with $61 million worth of advertising by outfits such as the Liberal-friendly rascals of Groupaction.

Rock's silly claim that his 1994 estimate of $85 million for gross start-up costs was based on the best available data conveniently ignores the facts.

He was repeatedly warned, not only by the Opposition but by independent experts and by members of his own caucus, that the cost would be well over $500 million. There were precedents.

Canada had had a primitive handgun registry since 1934 and its costs were a matter of record. Moreover, there were accurate accounts of the cost of issuing Firearms Acquisition Certificates when police actually fulfilled background check requirements.

Rock scoffed and said he wouldn't proceed with anything so expensive.

Now, with costs approaching one billion dollars for a program in shambles, he and his colleagues are trying to pretend the effort was "well worth the money" and "a useful tool."

For seven years, Alliance MP Garry Breitkreuz has been a voice in the Ottawa wilderness, exposing the lunacies of the firearms control program with a blizzard of press releases.

Because he is cautious and meticulous, his information was all verifiable and confirmed by Access to Information responses. Hardly anyone was interested.

Whenever Breitkreuz would rise in the House to question Rock, Rock's puppet successor Anne McLellan, or the current justice minister, the hapless Martin Cauchon, he was invariably stonewalled with sneering, irrelevant answers, but he persisted in his lonely crusade.

The financial and administrative chaos in the Canadian Firearms Centre, recently made public by Auditor General Sheila Fraser, was examined by the Senate a year ago, when the overall cost had reached $690 million. By then, Breitkreuz had been regularly exposing stratospheric cost overruns for years. It's a sad commentary that information brought forward by a mere MP was treated as irrelevant. It required action by a senior bureaucrat to draw attention to the mess.

This isn't denigration of Fraser or her work.

She is a formidable auditor and it appears that, wonder of wonders, her report may bring arrogant justice department poohbahs to heel.

A proposal to flush yet another $72 million down the CFC toilet has at least been deferred until the February budget.

Obviously, the justice and finance ministers hope that, by February, the furor will have abated, the media will be chasing other rabbits, and it will be business as usual.

There will then be a wonderful opportunity for those Liberal backbenchers who have raised their heads to protest against the fiasco to show some courage by continuing to demand remedies, even at the risk of bringing down the government.

They would be popular heroes, and a forced election would be a salutatory lesson to future ministers with regal aspirations.

If resistance fizzles, and the government ultimately fleeces the public for more than a billion dollars and proceeds to declare victory in its war on guns, it will not have accomplished its objective.

The justice department's absurdly lowball estimates of both the number of gun owners and the number of firearms in Canada have been twice revised downward to avoid admitting the registry is short at least a million gun owners and several million firearms.

Even if one accepts the dubious premise that firearm registration serves a useful purpose, this grossly incomplete registry will serve no purpose.

The original Justice Department estimate (1974) of more than 10 million firearms in Canada was probably reasonably accurate because it was based on a survey completed before Canadians were afraid to reveal such information.

Unlike most hardware, guns are rarely destroyed or discarded, even when unused.

It is known, mostly from import records that, until recently, the inventory increased by almost a quarter-million annually. On this basis, Breitkreuz estimates that there are about 16.5 million firearms in Canada.

In 1994, the RCMP estimated there were between seven million and 11 million guns in Canada, and the justice department claimed there were 3.3 million gun owners. Now, with only about two million Canadians licensed to possess firearms, the estimated number of owners has miraculously fallen to 2.2 million.

Thus it can be claimed "only" 200,000 Canadians have been vulnerable to criminal prosecution since Jan. 1, 2001.

It gets worse. Of two million Canadians licensed to have firearms, less than 1.5 million have applied to register anything. It now appears applications to register 5.2 million of the seven million (or 16.5 million) guns believed to be "out there" will have been filed by the year-end deadline.

For this, the treasury has been whacked for almost a billion dollars and counting.

Heads should roll, but in what passes for parliamentary democracy in Canada, the chance of retribution is slim indeed.